{
  "buildVersion": "1.00",
  "generatedAt": "2026-07-12T17:04:08+08:00",
  "publicationGate": "BLOCKED",
  "forecastLifecycleState": "pre-nomination-research",
  "summary": {
    "passed": 7,
    "warning": 5,
    "failedBlocking": 3
  },
  "checks": [
    {
      "field": "verified_state_seat_count",
      "status": "PASS",
      "value": 36,
      "source": "spr_schedule"
    },
    {
      "field": "unique_seat_codes",
      "status": "PASS",
      "value": "N01-N36 exactly once"
    },
    {
      "field": "majority_threshold",
      "status": "PASS",
      "value": 19
    },
    {
      "field": "official_2026_statewide_electorate",
      "status": "PASS",
      "value": 889490,
      "breakdown": {
        "ordinary": 867151,
        "military_and_spouses": 16884,
        "police": 5455
      },
      "source": "spr_schedule"
    },
    {
      "field": "official_2026_electorate_by_constituency",
      "status": "FAIL_BLOCKING",
      "value": null,
      "reason": "Per-DUN April 2026 DPPR has not been imported from an authoritative source. Do not apportion the statewide total."
    },
    {
      "field": "official_2026_nomination_slate",
      "status": "FAIL_BLOCKING",
      "value": null,
      "reason": "Nomination is scheduled for 18 July 2026. Pre-nomination candidate allocations are not the official slate."
    },
    {
      "field": "historical_2023_statewide_electorate_reconciliation",
      "status": "PASS",
      "value": 864425
    },
    {
      "field": "historical_2023_vote_reconciliation",
      "status": "PASS",
      "value": {
        "ballotsIssued": 590826,
        "ballotsNotReturned": 1144,
        "validVotes": 582455,
        "rejectedVotes": 7227,
        "equation": "valid + rejected + not returned = ballots issued"
      }
    },
    {
      "field": "historical_2023_seat_winners",
      "status": "PASS",
      "value": {
        "PH": 17,
        "BN": 14,
        "PN": 5,
        "total": 36
      }
    },
    {
      "field": "incumbent_list",
      "status": "PASS",
      "value": "36 records cross-checked against official state portal and 2023 result"
    },
    {
      "field": "parliamentary_historical_results",
      "status": "WARNING",
      "value": null,
      "reason": "Not yet imported into canonical records."
    },
    {
      "field": "boundary_harmonisation",
      "status": "WARNING",
      "value": null,
      "reason": "Historical same-name records are not yet boundary-harmonised."
    },
    {
      "field": "demographics",
      "status": "WARNING",
      "value": null,
      "reason": "Not imported until reliable legally usable source is verified."
    },
    {
      "field": "opinion_polls",
      "status": "WARNING",
      "value": null,
      "reason": "No qualifying constituency-level poll dataset found in initial audit."
    },
    {
      "field": "multilingual_news_events",
      "status": "WARNING",
      "value": 0,
      "reason": "Coverage inventory exists, but no synthetic placeholders are created."
    },
    {
      "field": "mandatory_blind_backtests",
      "status": "FAIL_BLOCKING",
      "value": null,
      "reason": "Baseline comparisons and calibration tests are not completed."
    }
  ],
  "unavailableDataMustNotBeFabricated": [
    "2026 electorate by DUN",
    "official nominated candidate slate",
    "actual 2026 contest structure",
    "candidate continuity/replacement effects until slate confirmation",
    "constituency-level opinion polling where no poll exists",
    "historical boundary crosswalks not yet verified",
    "demographic fields not sourced",
    "coalition transfer rates",
    "turnout distributions",
    "candidate effects",
    "news influence values without corroborated event records"
  ]
}